"Follow your honest convictions, and stay strong." ~ William Thackeray

Did you know: New Home Supplies Fall To An 18-Month Low...

If you plan to buy of new construction in Carolinas sometime in 2012, don't expect today's low prices. Like everything in housing of late, the market for newly-built homes appears to be stabilizing and, in some markets, improving.

As foreshadowed by this month's strong Homebuilder Confidence survey, the Census Bureau reports that the number of new homes sold rose to a 6-month high in October, climbing to 307,000 units on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis.

A "new home" is a home that is considered new construction. It's the opposite of an "existing home".

Home buyers are comparing new construction to home resales and liking what they see. At the current sales pace, the nation's complete new home inventory would now be depleted in just 6.3 months. This marks the lowest home supply since April 2010 -- the last month of the last year's federal homebuyer tax credit.

By building only to meet new demand, builders are keeping home supplies in check, and home prices stable. They've also found a niche market  80% of homes sold last month sold for less than $300,000.

Split by region, the Census Bureau reports October's New Home Sales as follows :

• Northeast Region : +0.0% from September 2011
• Midwest Region : +22.2% from September 2011
• South Region : -9.5% from September 2011
• West Region : -14.9% from September 2011

Unfortunately, the data may be incorrect.

Although the October New Home Sales report says that sales climbed 1.3 percent last month, the government's data was published with a ±19.7% margin of error. This means that the actual New Home Sales reading may have been as high as +21.0 percent, or as low as -18.4 percent. Because the range of values includes both positive and negative values, the Census Bureau assigned its October data "zero confidence".

As home buyers, then, we can't take our market cues from the published data. Instead, we should look to other metrics including Housing Starts data and the aforementioned homebuilder confidence survey. Each points to strength in the new home market, and foretells higher home prices in 2012.

If you're in the market for new construction, consider writing an offer soon. Home prices remain low and mortgage rates do, too -- a combination that keeps home payments low. Next year, that may not be the case.

Have a fantastic week and remember we are here for you.

The Valeo-Croy Team - Call today

Todd Croy - NMLS #91428 NC, SC (704) 488-7763
Deanna Valeo - NMLS #91421 NC, SC, VA (704)488-1421

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The Valeo-Croy Team and New American Mortgage Bankers are Equal Housing Lenders.This information is for illustration only. It does not constitute an application for a loan or an offer or commitment for New American Mortgage to make a loan on these terms. Interest rates are subject to change until an application is completed and you lock in your interest rate. The figures noted are estimates and may vary depending on discount points, taxes and insurance. Programs, terms and conditions are subject to change without notice. Mortgage loans are subject to credit qualifications. Normal credit standards apply.   Date: 11/29/2011